Carmel Vanishing Reveal

The claim

Reasoning

The verdict confirmed the surrounding negative space (the vanishing welded to the 6th-birthday feast, the deliberately withheld cause, the inherited Soru Soru no Mi), but the physical mechanism remains an unresolved future reveal. The plausibility, not proof: Big Mom demonstrably eats living people during cravings from her first appearance, the craving-illness originated at this very orphanage, and the disappearance is framed as a horror so monstrous witnesses fled and even Big Mom does not know the truth. Confidence is held below 0.5 because a Conqueror’s-Haki soul-mass-death, an accidental fruit-driven consumption, or a non-ingesting craving-kill would all satisfy the on-page framing without literal cannibalism.

Resolution

Once new info arrives, update status, resolved_date, resolved_chapter and write a one-paragraph postmortem here describing what happened and what reasoning was right or wrong.

Supporting evidence

• Ch. 651 — At her introduction, denied treats, Big Mom devours her own pleading subjects (“then you can wait for the party inside my belly…”) — cannibalistic appetite installed at first appearance.
• Ch. 829 — A craving fit has her raze Sweet City and kill her own son Moscato until a croquembouche reaches her mouth — the trait is real and lethal.
• Ch. 866 — The uncontrollable sweets-craving first erupts on day 7 of Elbaf’s solstice fast, at the House of Lambs — the origin of the lethal state.
• Ch. 867 — The tea party is the warmest day of her life (“I even chewed the table a bit”); immediately after, Carmel and every orphan “simply vanished.”
• Ch. 868 — The cause is sealed as withheld horror: two witnesses, an unspeakable name among giants, “even Big Mom herself does not know the full truth of it.”

What would refute this

(Be specific — the cleaner the falsifier, the more honest the prediction.)

• Mother Carmel — a future chapter shows Carmel leaving or surviving the House of Lambs by any means other than being consumed (an ordinary departure, a rescue, a World-Government extraction).
• House of Lambs / Sheep’s House — an on-page reveal that the orphans were trafficked, sold, evacuated, or killed-without-ingestion rather than eaten.
• Soru Soru no Mi — a reveal that the fruit-driven soul-power (not literal consumption) is what “vanished” them, e.g. their souls extracted into homies.
• Streusen — Streusen (the second witness) narrates the disappearance as something other than young Linlin eating Carmel and the orphans.
• Carmel — any on-page or SBS statement that Linlin did NOT consume Carmel and the orphans.

Linked

• About: Mother Carmel Mystery
• Supports theories: Big Mom Ate Mother Carmel
• Contradicts theories: